Sunday, 18 May 2008

How Wendy shot Labour in the foot

Scotland on Sunday reveals that Wendy Alexander's demand for an early referendum on Scottish independence two weeks ago holed a secret plan being drafted by UK Labour chiefs to trigger a vote on the matter as early as this winter:

Detailed proposals were being drawn up in Whitehall to put forward a Scottish referendum bill in the House of Commons which would have led to a quick vote on the future of the country.

Gordon Brown is understood to have been considering the plan, but it was ruled out after Alexander made a chaotic U-turn, forcing the Prime Minister to disassociate the party from such a scheme.

However, a senior Whitehall source said that ministers were "highly likely" to have gone ahead with a referendum later this year.

The secret plans offer a further explanation for the cold fury in the UK Labour party which greeted Alexander's unexpected call for a referendum on independence two weeks ago. By calling on Salmond to bring forward his own bill – and, at one point, threatening to even bring her own bill forward at Holyrood – she effectively declared that it was Labour policy that a referendum should be organised at Holyrood, and not Westminster.

Labour's plan until then had been to organise a referendum at Westminster where it could have controlled the timing and the wording of the question put to the people. Labour sources point out that as the Constitution is a reserved matter, it should be Westminster which organises the vote, and not Holyrood. They also point out that, with Labour having a majority at Westminster, a bill proposing a referendum could have been passed "within weeks", thereby ensuring that the matter could have been dealt with quickly.

Dear oh dear oh dear...

Hat tip to ConservativeHome

Harriet unfocused

Harriet Harman seemed to be doing a 'Bendy Wendy' on the Politics Show today:

Jon Sopel: We heard there from our North West political editor about this 'Toff Campaign' that you've been running. Now, Steve McCabe who's running the Labour campaign up there has talked about the Conservative candidate as being from an 'excessively privileged background'. What is 'excessively privileged'?
Harriet Harman MP: Well I think what they're saying is they're just putting a spotlight on, er, you know, the difference between, er, between the two candidates, and, you know, we're very...
Jon Sopel: I want to know what 'excessively privileged' is.
Harriet Harman MP: I, I think he's a multi-millionaire, I mean, you know, those are the, the, the issues being raised locally.
Jon Sopel: Well his parents are, he's a barrister.
Harriet Harman MP: Ahum...
Jon Sopel: So your parents' background counts, it's to be used against you?
Harriet Harman MP: Well, no, I think it's his, you know, his own, you know, personal situation and we're putting the focus on our candidate Tamsin, who is, er, a hard working mother of five and we think would be the very best representative for Crewe and Nantwich.
Jon Sopel: You're the niece of the Countess of Longford, you went to the poshest girls school in the country which gets the best private school results. Does that make you 'excessively privileged'?
Harriet Harman MP: Well I've never made any issue about my background and, you know, what we're saying in Crewe is we think that Tamsin is the best candidate, and, you know, we're putting the focus on her and how she would be a very good person to be Member of Parliament for Crewe and Nantwich.
Jon Sopel: Can I show you the front page of your website...that's the front page of your website, I mean do you think that's positive campaigning?
Harriet Harman MP: Well, I think most of the campaign is focussing on, you know, the good that, um, has happened over the last ten years since Labour's been in government in Crewe and Nantwich and also our plans for the future and our very good candidate, that is obviously, you know, the best way forward.
Jon Sopel: I sense you feel uncomfortable with this campaign.
Harriet Harman MP: Well it's not the main focus of our campaign, erm, I mean you've, you've taken that, erm, obviously...
Jon Sopel: That's the front page of your website.
Harriet Harman MP: Yes. But it's not the main focus of our campaign, the main focus of our campaign is Tamsin Dunwoody as an excellent candidate and, you know, we think that she would be the best person to be representative for Crewe and Nantwich and we're proud of what the Labour government has done over the last eleven years, and have got a good programme for the future.
Jon Sopel: I mean, you know, this is another leaflet that's been put out, it says...'Tory boy application form: Do you think that regeneration is adding a new wing to your mansion?' I mean, we've seen a picture in the papers today of where Tamsin Dunwoody lives. It looks like a mansion to me as well. Isn't this just politics that harks back to a bygone era?
Harriet Harman MP: Well I think the reality is that under the Tories there wasn't any regeneration of any city areas, there was mass unemployment, that people who were at the bottom of society were really suffering, especially with the recessions, and Labour has focussed on cutting unemployment and ensuring there are good public services, and that's what we stand for, and that's what that's illustrating.
Jon Sopel: Are you worried the polls look bad for you?
Harriet Harman MP: Well I think, you know, we're, we're trying to campaign for every single vote we can get and I don't think there's any point at this stage with the vote on Thursday second guessing the decision that will be made by the people of Crewe and Nantwich on Thursday.
Jon Sopel: Tamsin, your candidate who you've spoken so highly of was asked...I saw a clip on YouTube where she's asked three times 'is Gordon Brown an asset or a liability?' and she pointedly refuses every time to answer that question. Isn't what Tamsin Dunwoody feels, your hand-picked by-election candidate, can't say a good word for Gordon Brown. Isn't that the problem you face in the country?
Harriet Harman MP: Not at all, I think what Tamsin is doing is saying that she's the one running for election in Crewe and Nantwich, not Gordon Brown, erm, but, you know I've got absolute and complete confidence in Gordon Brown, who has steared the economy through very difficult circumstances for the last ten years, and is exactly the kind of person we need taking the country forward when there is difficulty with the cost of living and food prices going up and, and the credit crunch that's been coming in from America.

Sunday Huhnism


"...if I had five pounds for every time I've heard commentators say that the Liberal Democrat bandwagon isn't rolling at by-elections I'd be very rich indeed," said Chris Huhne MP today on the Politics Show.

Er, Chris, you're a fucking millionaire.

Stem cell research or spin?

In today's Observer, Gordon Brown states his support for stem cell research. I know this because BBC Breakfast are mentioning it at least once every five minutes.

MPs have a free vote over the next two days on three controversial proposals: hybrid embryos; allowing the creation of 'saviour sibling' children, who could donate tissue to help older siblings with serious genetic disorders; and ending requirements for IVF clinics to consider the child's need for a father before treating single or lesbian women. Well, I say free vote, Labour MPs will only have a day of free voting before the whips step in.

I share the Prime Minister's view, it is a matter which he is obviously passionate about, and I would normally appreciate the fact that he has gone to the trouble of stating his case on a forthcoming bill in a mainstream periodical. But the cynic in me cannot but wonder at the coverage this story is getting, or rather the way it is being covered. "Gordon Brown comes out fighting on stem cell research" in a "crucial vote" is the BBC's message -on an issue that is neither party political nor relevant to his party's current woes. Is this bill being talked up so that -should it be when it is passed- Brown can claim a victory -presumably to cushion himself from the loss of Crewe and Nantwich next Thursday? Are Brown and his lackies seeking to manipulate a non-party-political issue to make party political spin?

Maybe I'm just being cynical, but we'll find out soon enough.

More bad news for Brown

From The Sunday Times:

Gordon Brown's attempt to relaunch his government has flopped, according to a poll for The Sunday Times, and his unpopularity is on a par with the worst days of John Major.

... the survey of more than 1,800 people by YouGov gives David Cameron’s Conservatives a 20-point lead over Labour, up four points on last month. It suggests the Tories are establishing commanding leads of the kind enjoyed by Tony Blair before Labour’s 1997 landslide.

The Tories had 45% of the poll, up one on last month, with Labour on just 25%, down three, and the Liberal Democrats on 18%, up one. If repeated at a general election, this pattern would give Cameron more than 400 seats in the House of Commons and a majority of about 150 over all other parties.

Even more troubling for the prime minister is the continued slump in his personal poll ratings. Last month YouGov showed Brown had suffered the sharpest drop in ratings of any modern prime minister — worse even than Neville Chamberlain in 1940.

By three to one, 69% to 21%, people say Brown is not up to the job of prime minister...

Republicans Rattled


Writing in the Observer, Paul Harris explains why Barack Obama could defeat John McCain.